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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current prediction for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season?

NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

How many major hurricanes are expected in the 2022 hurricane season?

For the 2022 hurricane season, NOAA is forecasting a likely range of 14 to 21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.

What is the average ACE for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season?

This outlook indicates a 70% chance that the 2022 seasonal ACE range will be 110%-190% of the median. This activity is slightly below the prediction from May of 2022 (115%-200% of the median ACE). Also, the updated ACE range is centered at 150% of median, which is above NOAA’s threshold (130% of median) for an above-normal season.

What is the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season?

The official start of the Atlantic hurricane season is June 1 and runs through November 30. (NOAA)


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